Healthy Housing Market For Home Buying And Selling in Northern Virginia

The Northern Virginia real estate market continues to remain stable. Recent numbers show that houses are selling, prices are raising slightly, and inventory levels are increasing slightly. All of these numbers are at healthy levels in my opinion. 2015 Interest Rates Home Prices in the Northern Virginia Real Estate MarketThis news is making now a good time to both sell and buy a property.

One thing that has been a wild card is interest rates. Increased rates can hamper the steadiness of our market and right now they are near 2015 highs.  Over the past 3 weeks, there have only been two days where rates managed to improve even a little bit.  Four out of the past six days have seen uncommonly big moves higher.  These are the sorts of moves that we’d normally only see 2-3 times per month, so to see 4 of them in just over a week is alarming. It is definitely an area we need to pay attention to moving forward.

Going forward, I see more of the same out of our housing market. There will be a good home selection for buyers to choose from, reasonable prices and rates remaining in the 4% range. As good homes come on the market that are priced right, they are selling because there are buyers in the market looking to own. Houses that have been on the market because the owners “pushed” prices, didn’t have them in the right condition or just had bad timing (putting them on the market at the end of October) will continue to sit. Buyers want fresh listings, not old, tired listings that have been lingering on the market. Therefore, it remains critical to have your house staged, in the right condition and priced right to get it sold if you are looking to put your house on the market.

If you have any questions or concerns about your situation, feel free to call me today 703-652-5777 . I am happy to discuss how we can help you.

Scott MacDonald

RE/MAX Gateway

New Year Sparks Hope and Much Anticipated Home Sales As Early Spring Real Estate Market 2015 Approaches

The beginning of the year always brings about hope, excitement and anticipation of good things ahead and 2015 is no different.  We believe that this year will be a much better year for real estate in Northern Virginia.  There are many reasons for this optimism – great rates, new financing programs, lower inventory levels, positive consumer confidence and pent-up demand.

Let’s review each of these areas.HOPE SPARK IN 2015 REAL ESTATE MARKET

  • Great rates. Although there has been a very slight uptick in rates recently, rates remain very low historically.  Additionally, the interest rates will remain low through 2015 perhaps not reaching 5% until later in the year.
  • New financing programs. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have both begun to accept 3% down payments for first time home buyers.  There will be guidelines such as a minimum 620 credit score, borrowers will have to take an educational class, and they couldn’t have owned a home in the last 3 years to qualify.  With 45% of renters delaying a home purchase because of available funds for a down payment, this should increase the number of home buyers in 2015.
  • Lower inventory levels. In September of this year, we reached a 7 year high in inventory in Northern Virginia with 9,163 houses for sale.  Since that time, the number of available homes has declined each week.  We now have just 5,944 homes for sale which resulted in a brisk sales month for December.  Some of these properties will come back on the market this upcoming spring, but many sold.  As long as we have a moderate winter weather-wise, inventory will slowly enter the market and we won’t have the accelerated inventory levels we experienced in May of 2014 due to the weather.
  • Positive consumer confidence. Many more people today believe that the economy, their personal situation and the real estate market are all going to be better in the future.  These optimistic expectations are leading indicators to people purchasing in the upcoming months – including housing.  Additionally, Freddie Mac and builders also have high expectations of the housing market.  These expectations will have a positive impact on housing in 2015.
  • Pent up demand. As previously mentioned, December experienced a brisk sales month here locally.  We continue to receive calls, emails and internet requests on our homes for sale.   This shows us that there are many people ready to buy the right home that suits their personal lifestyle needs.  Also, many people who went through distressed sales just a few years ago are able to purchase again.  Job growth coupled with population growth locally will also increase demand for housing.

One other area to see home ownership grow in 2015 and beyond is the Millennial homebuyers.  They believe in home ownership as a wealth building opportunity and an overwhelming majority of them will be buying in the next 5 years.  Lastly, rising rental rates will push more people into ownership as a cost savings measure.

All of these positive influences in our region will strengthen our housing market in 2015 and beyond.  As we see our local economy continuing to rebound after 4 years of stagnant growth, this will have a positive impact on housing.  To see what this means to you, please feel free to contact me.

Cheers in the New Year!

Scott MacDonald

RE/MAX Gateway

Happy New Year 2015 _ ScottyMacsBlog Real Estate Market

 

With No True Spring-Selling Market, What Will It Take To Sell Your Home in 2014?

Housing Inventory Increase

Wow, it is hard to believe that we are almost half way through 2014 and summer is just about to get into full swing.  It is going to be interesting to see how we get through the real estate market this summer as we had no true spring selling season.  At our June Quarterly Meeting, I announced our numbers were up so far this year but we were expecting to have helped more families buy and sell homes up to this point.  Of course the weather got in the way early on and now that school is about to get out, people will be taking their vacations.  So it is important for sellers to be prepared for the upcoming situation.

Our inventory levels have continued to escalate since the warm weather broke in May.  It has resulted in us having more homes for sale than any time since October on 2011.  As we enter the summertime, the season generally slows down which will increase inventory as well, so sellers need to do all they can to attract the buyers that are out looking for a new home.  Sellers need to position their properties accordingly, as there is currently a 2 month supply of houses on the market.  The inside and the outside of the house needs to shine and show like a model home, as well as be priced to sell!  We are not able to “push” prices like we did earlier this year. What it takes to sell your house in 2014The sellers who overprice their properties, even just above what we recommend, sit on the market.  Additionally, we are having appraisal issues with properties in areas where there are no sales to support the higher values – even in multiple contract situations in arm’s length transactions.  The underwriting guidelines have made it tougher to get above market values approved, so please price your house accordingly.

If you have any questions, concerns, or would like to discuss your specific situation or the market, feel free to call me today (703) 652-5777.

Scott MacDonald

RE/MAX Gateway

Video

7 Ideas For A Successful Real Estate Open House

The Spring real estate market is already warming up and due to low housing inventory, an Open House can be an effective way to get your listing seen. Listen as Scott offers some great ideas that were shared in “The NEW Agent” training series on how to help ensure a successful real estate open house.

Scott MacDonald, Broker/Owner/President of RE/MAX Gateway mentors and offers practical advice to real estate agents. Want to learn more? Contact Scott MacDonald (703) 652-5777 scottmacdonald@remax.net to learn more about how to be your best as an entrepreneur in the real estate world. Read more at scottymacsblog.com

Video

LOW INVENTORY: Homes for Sale Needed in Northern Virginia!

Low inventory and multiple offers – listen as Scott MacDonald explains the current housing market from both buyer and seller perspective.  Scott offers practical advice to homeowners who are thinking of selling, as well as, market trends and forecast for the Northern Virginia Real Estate Market.
Contact Scott MacDonald (703) 652-5777 scottmacdonald@remax.net to learn more about your specific real estate market or read scottymacsblog.com/

How to be successful this year in real estate.

It’s the beginning of the year and agents are asking what they need to do to be successful this year in real estate.  As I thought this through, I came up with a few areas that I believe agents need to “pay attention to” sooner rather than later to be successful in real estate.  Here is the list of urgent and important items, urgent items, important items and lastly, to do items that I came up with for success this year and beyond.

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Urgent and important

  • Get you database together – sort and qualify them.  Assemble their name, address, email address and phone number.
  • Call them, stop by and see them with a “leave behind item of value”, communicate with them regularly to strengthen your relationships with them and to develop your base of business.
  • Add people to your database daily – grow who you know and also, those who know you
  • Develop a daily game plan of who you are going to reach out to and why.  Do this the evening before or the morning before you start your day.
  • Create a daily schedule with strategic blocks (1-2 hours), buffer blocks (3-5 hours) and break out blocks (1-2 hours) built in and stick to it for success.

Urgent

  • Have a business plan complete with goals, objectives to meet these goals, and action plans to carry you over the goal line.
  • Hire a coach/mentor to keep you on track – meet with them weekly to review your goals/business plan.  Your broker or manager is always a good start as they are invested in your success.
  • Get an accountability partner to hold your feet to the fire complete with rewards as well as consequences for your actions.

Important

  • Learn the business – read publications, attend industry events at your office, Real Estate Exchanges, Quarterly meetings, association and at the franchise level.
  • Learn the inventory – see 5 houses every day including new homes.  Attend Broker Opens.
  • Meet with others in the industry – lenders, title, builders to gain insight into their areas of the business and what is happening with them.
  • Start a blog and write consistently.
  • Do videos and post to your blog, website, and social media channels to gain exposure and recognition as an expert.
  • Plan to host at least one client event this year.
  • Have a daily to-do list.  Work on hardest things first as they are typically the most critical.
  • Develop a routine and stick with it.  Always start with prospecting as it is the key to success.
  • Maintain a calendar with events and goals for the day and week.
  • Work on your negotiation skills through role playing.
  • Be present – stay off cell phone during your “block” times, focus on the other person, be an active listener.

To do’s

  • Utilize systems and process to ensure your success for marketing yourself, working with buyers and sellers.
  • Set up a networking group to grow your business.
  • Create and develop your brand – who you are, what you deliver and what you stand for in the business.
  • Read inspirational and motivational articles, books, etc. each morning to get you in the right frame of mind daily.
  • Continuously educate yourself personally and professionally.  Set a goal to read a book a month or even a book a week or to attain a designation.
  • Eat healthy and exercise regularly.
  • Invest wisely in yourself and in your business – check with your coach, mentor or trusted advisor before any major expenditures.
  • Celebrate your successes, including the small ones as they all count!
  • Consistently work on communication skills.
  • Create a vision board of your goals, dreams and desires.
  • Have a good balance between work and life.

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As you progress in your career or if you are looking to jump start your career be sure to add these items to guide you to success.  Obviously there are other areas which you need to develop but these will most definitely help you.  If you are interested in more information or would like to schedule a time to meet, please feel free to call me.

Now, go sell something!

Why has the real estate market slowed down?

Why has the real estate market slowed down?  In my opinion, it is a combination of a few factors.

Why has the real estate market slowed down?

First and foremost, it is interest rates.  Over the last year, rates have risen nearly 1.5%.  A lot of people say they can’t believe with rates so low, how people cannot qualify for a mortgage.  Well this kind of increase will remove buyers from the market regardless of where the rates start and where they end up – 3.25 to 4.75 or 8 to 9.5.   An increase in interest rates like this is going to have an impact on the market.

Also, house prices have increased by over 17% the last 3 years in our area.  This price increase has also helped to eliminate buyers from the market.  Higher prices in any area of our lives – cars, restaurants, food, etc. will eliminate buyers – it is a natural fact.  Couple this with the interest rate increase and we have a slower market.

Additionally, there are fewer homes to choose from in the lower price points as well making it difficult for buyers to even find acceptable housing to purchase.  There are only 1,210 properties priced below $300,000 in all of Northern Virginia and only 271 are single family homes, the rest are town houses or condos.  If there are fewer options for entry into the market, there are going to be fewer sales thus slowing down the market.

The upcoming finance reform with QM, QRM, and Basel III the first of the year together with the easing of QE 3 leaves a lot of speculation about the future of rates and sequentially, the housing market.  Keep a keen eye on these developments to measure their impact.

So is the sky falling Chicken Little? 

Why has the real estate market slowed down interest rate increase

Well, let the numbers tell the story.  The housing market today is not substantially different than this same time last year and everyone was excited about the market then.  Funny how the brisk spring market with low inventory, low interest rates and multiple contracts has clouded the vision of some people.  Inventory is up just 6% over last year – not a terrible or scary number.  Sales are up in a week to week comparison to last year by 3.5% – a pretty good increase, right?  The 2.1 month supply of homes is virtually the same as last year’s 2.0.  Distressed property inventory has dropped 40% – which is a fantastic number.  This has resulted in a majority of the increase in homes for sale being arm’s length transactions – another good thing.  The last number to mention is properties that settled the last 30 days.  We are up 14% over last year indicating we are actually experiencing more sales.  So, if looked at from a long term perspective, our real estate market is actually doing pretty well.  All this being said, we still need to price properties properly as well as get them in the right condition to get them sold for our clients.

Keep a positive outlook on the market, good things will happen.  Now, go sell something!

Scott MacDonald

RE/MAX Gateway, LLC

Video

How are Interest Rates affecting the Northern Virginia Real Estate?

Scott MacDonald of RE/MAX Gateway offers valuable information as to how interest rates are driving the real estate housing market in his video blog Scott’s Market Minute.

Sellers are urged to price houses competitively to sell fast. For a free Home Market Analysis, contact Scott MacDonald (703) 652-5777  There’s still time to get your home listed for sale!

Buyers, rates are climbing, now is the time to buy a home! Email Scott for a free optimized homes for sale search list. scottmacdonald@remax.net

How Fast Will My House Sell? A Look Into The Real Estate Market Roller Coaster Ride

July turned out to be a roller coaster month for real estate as the long-awaited day of reckoning came: The era of historically low interest rates is over.

How Fast Will My House Sell INTEREST RATES

Additionally, inventory levels continued to increase – we are up nearly double the number of homes for sale since the beginning of the year.  Also, home prices have risen and sales slowed slightly all resulting in a hectic month for residential sales.  Oh yeah, throw in a long holiday weekend so some sellers are a little anxious today about their home sale situation.

So the biggest question is…what was the impact of rising rates?

  • It knocked some buyers out of the home purchasing arena as they could no longer qualify.
  • Some buyers are waiting to see if the rates will come back down so they are on the fence.
  • Higher prices coupled with higher rates have made some people uncomfortable with the elevated payments and don’t want to make a move at this time.

How do we look going forward into August…. Houses will sell!

  • Existing home sales are expected to rise more than 8% for the remainder of the year.  As our prices continue to rise, albeit at slower pace than the rest of the major metropolitan areas as reported by Case-Shiller – home prices in the 20 biggest cities rose 2.4 percent from April to May, with a 2 percent monthly gain in the Washington market. How Fast Will My House Sell
  • Sellers in our area will continue to take advantage of the gain in equity, especially closer into Washington and put their houses up for sale giving us a more balanced market between buyers and sellers.
  • Interest rates will remain stable and we won’t have the drastic increases we experienced over the last two months bringing some of the buyers back into the market.

So overall, I believe we will have a good August, not great, but that is typical for this time of the year.

If you have any additional questions or concerns about your particular situation, feel free to call me (703) 652-5777.

Scott MacDonald

RE/MAX Gateway, LLC

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Top 3 Reasons Why You Should Buy or Sell a Home in Northern Virginia NOW!

Wow, it has been a crazy 8 weeks for interest rates.  As we have discussed in the past, if someone was considering buying or refinancing, they should do it then.  Well, I hope you took that advice because interest rates have gone up three quarters of a point in just the past 2 months.  This week, we saw the largest increase in rates since April of 1987 – that’s 26 years!  The reason behind the increase is Ben Bernanke of the Federal Reserve made remarks that they may be tapering its bond purchases later this year if the economy continues to improve.  Although the stock market was up the second quarter with all three indexes recording gains of between 2% and 5%, it too took a hit on these comments.  We will have to keep a close eye on the economy and see where rates will go moving forward with this type of news on the forefront.  If you recall, at the beginning of the year, we predicted rates to rise to around 4.5% which I believe will still be the case, I thought it would be more gradual and not so drastic.

Largest interest rate increase since April, 1987

Largest interest rate increase since April, 1987

All of this being said, interest rates from a historical perspective, are still very low.  Today 30 year fixed rates are 4.25% with .75 points on conforming loans above $417,000.   While the increase in interest rates will certainly dampen some housing activity, the effect will be softened by the high level of buyer affordability, and home sales should still remain strong.

What else do we see in our real estate market?  We continue to see housing prices increase throughout the area as demand remains strong despite the increase in rates which is good news for our sellers.  We are also seeing more houses coming onto the market in Northern Virginia which is good news for our buyers. The inventory of resale homes is above 5,000 for the first time since the third week of October 2012.  Since the beginning of the year, inventory levels are up nearly 37% but we are still in a seller’s market with just a 1.4 month’s supply of homes.  The market still remains competitive with many properties receiving multiple contracts.   We had one house with 3 contracts on it this week in Virginia Run.  Distressed property inventory remains very low as well – just 6.9% of the market which is good news for everyone.   We should continue to see these trends continue throughout the summer.

Lastly, we are excited to announce we have signed a lease on our 5th office.  It is in the Clarendon section of Arlington and is located at 3000 10th Street – look for our grand opening announcement soon.  Please let us know how we can serve you.

Scott MacDonald

RE/MAX Gateway, LLC