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Northern Virginia Real Estate inventory and Pricing

Scott MacDonald of RE/MAX Gateway offers valuable information on the latest real estate inventory and how important pricing is for selling your home in his video blog Scott’s Market Minute. Sellers are urged to price houses competitively to sell fast.

For a free Home Market Analysis, contact Scott MacDonald (703) 652-5777 There’s still time to get your home listed for sale!

Buyers, rates are climbing, now is the time to buy a home! Email Scott for a free optimized homes for sale search list. scottmacdonald@remax.net

Why has the real estate market slowed down?

Why has the real estate market slowed down?  In my opinion, it is a combination of a few factors.

Why has the real estate market slowed down?

First and foremost, it is interest rates.  Over the last year, rates have risen nearly 1.5%.  A lot of people say they can’t believe with rates so low, how people cannot qualify for a mortgage.  Well this kind of increase will remove buyers from the market regardless of where the rates start and where they end up – 3.25 to 4.75 or 8 to 9.5.   An increase in interest rates like this is going to have an impact on the market.

Also, house prices have increased by over 17% the last 3 years in our area.  This price increase has also helped to eliminate buyers from the market.  Higher prices in any area of our lives – cars, restaurants, food, etc. will eliminate buyers – it is a natural fact.  Couple this with the interest rate increase and we have a slower market.

Additionally, there are fewer homes to choose from in the lower price points as well making it difficult for buyers to even find acceptable housing to purchase.  There are only 1,210 properties priced below $300,000 in all of Northern Virginia and only 271 are single family homes, the rest are town houses or condos.  If there are fewer options for entry into the market, there are going to be fewer sales thus slowing down the market.

The upcoming finance reform with QM, QRM, and Basel III the first of the year together with the easing of QE 3 leaves a lot of speculation about the future of rates and sequentially, the housing market.  Keep a keen eye on these developments to measure their impact.

So is the sky falling Chicken Little? 

Why has the real estate market slowed down interest rate increase

Well, let the numbers tell the story.  The housing market today is not substantially different than this same time last year and everyone was excited about the market then.  Funny how the brisk spring market with low inventory, low interest rates and multiple contracts has clouded the vision of some people.  Inventory is up just 6% over last year – not a terrible or scary number.  Sales are up in a week to week comparison to last year by 3.5% – a pretty good increase, right?  The 2.1 month supply of homes is virtually the same as last year’s 2.0.  Distressed property inventory has dropped 40% – which is a fantastic number.  This has resulted in a majority of the increase in homes for sale being arm’s length transactions – another good thing.  The last number to mention is properties that settled the last 30 days.  We are up 14% over last year indicating we are actually experiencing more sales.  So, if looked at from a long term perspective, our real estate market is actually doing pretty well.  All this being said, we still need to price properties properly as well as get them in the right condition to get them sold for our clients.

Keep a positive outlook on the market, good things will happen.  Now, go sell something!

Scott MacDonald

RE/MAX Gateway, LLC

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How are Interest Rates affecting the Northern Virginia Real Estate?

Scott MacDonald of RE/MAX Gateway offers valuable information as to how interest rates are driving the real estate housing market in his video blog Scott’s Market Minute.

Sellers are urged to price houses competitively to sell fast. For a free Home Market Analysis, contact Scott MacDonald (703) 652-5777  There’s still time to get your home listed for sale!

Buyers, rates are climbing, now is the time to buy a home! Email Scott for a free optimized homes for sale search list. scottmacdonald@remax.net

Success as Appraisal Concerns Rise In Northern Virginia Real Estate

Uh – oh some appraisals are low!
As we enter the spring market I have growing concerns over appraisals here in Northern Virginia. As we come out of the “slower” winter months, appraisers have fewer homes to choose from to help catch them up with the market today. We are seeing 20-30 people regularly at open houses which is rare for this time of year. There are only 3,081 houses for sale in all of Northern Virginia – a true supply issue for the number of buyers in the marketplace. As a result, it is rare not to see multiple offers on houses listed today. This is not an artificial “run up” of housing prices and we are not stretching prices as we are still below the highs of the housing bubble in many areas. The law of supply and demand should dictate property values in my opinion.
Here are examples of the last few appraisals we have come across. Two single family homes in the same neighborhood in Fairfax both recently came in low – one was sold at $850,000 and appraised for $847,000 – really? The other one sold at $877,000 and appraised for $811,000. How can these numbers be so far off from each other and where is the real estateAppraisal Concerns scottymacsblog market headed today? One of our agents listed a town house in Countryside for $320,000. They received 3 contracts in the first weekend – an obvious issue of supply and demand. Well, it sold for $326,500 and appraised for $300,000. The appraiser used a short sale that had closed several months prior to this sale at $260,000 as a comparable. Short sales are less than 8% of the market plus if it closed several months prior to this sale, because of the short sale process, the contract was written several months prior to closing – how is this truly a reflection of the market today? We also had an offer come in on a town house in Centreville recently which sold for $450,000 and appraised at $435,000. The appraiser used a new town house in a community down the street that settled in July of 2012. Again, as it was new build, the contract was written a few, if not several months prior to the settlement – is this a true indication of market value today? What’s worse is there was a closing in the same neighborhood which was a higher value that settled in December that was not used to support the price of our town house. Lastly, we had a condo in Sterling that came in low by $8,000. The sales price was $175,000 and it appraised for $167,000. I think you can understand our issue.
What can be done? First, provide information to your sellers and buyers early. Set the expectation that the property may not appraise for the sales price and discuss the potential options with them so they understand what the next steps would be for them. Let them know that the appraisers may have difficulty finding suitable comparable sales – this is where you must be diligent and provide solid comparable sales to the appraiser. If you are dealing with an FHA appraisal and the sellers of comparable properties paid closing costs for their buyers, let them know the appraiser will take that amount off the top of the sales price which could bring down your value. As there are many multiple offer situations, some buyer’s agents are putting in high offers to get an approved contract knowing they won’t get the needed appraised amount – let your sellers know this is the case and the highest price is not always the best offer. If you are selling a new home, most builder contracts do not have appraisal contingencies in them for their protection, not the buyers. As prices of new homes are escalating this becomes a concern for buyers today. Remind them that an appraisal is a snap shot in time based upon historical data that is already behind our escalating market.
In addition to providing information to your sellers and buyers, provide extensive details to the appraiser. Plus, don’t just provide them with information, meet them and discuss what you and they are seeing in the market – build rapport by sharing your stories and listening to theirs. Share with them your comparable sales and why they should be considered. Explain the Home Pricing Wizard to them in detail and how it helped you determine the market value. Provide them with copies of the competing offers so they can see it is a desirable property. Share with them your feedback from Showing Suite that shows other agents that visited the property how they felt the property was priced at market value – or below. Bring market data from RBIntel that shows the market is increasing in value, as well as, articles that point to this fact. You must be diligent in your representation of our clients and do all you can to get the houses to appraise.
The good news is not all properties are appraising low, but there are enough that are, so this is why you need to pay attention and educate our clients on what is happening in the market. This separates you from other agents and makes you a professional. Get it? Got it? Good!
Now, go sell something!

Business Planning for 2013: LEAP!

I’m excited that you have taken the big step in your career by investing your time, energy and effort to take your business to the next level.

The important thing to realize is showing up is not enough.  You need to be engaged, focus and have a level of commitment to the plan your come up with this weekend.

In addition, you will need to change.

Change your approach to the business by adding accountability into your schedule.

Change the way you do business – perhaps developing a mobile strategy, online strategy, or including something else new.

Change how you view your business – become a visionary.  Think about what is coming down the road and how you will need adjust your approach to the business.

Most importantly, you will have to take action – not just talk about it.

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As time goes on, you will need to make adjustments.   Just like a pilot, a plane is off 99% of the time while in the air because of turbulence, air stream, storms, etc. you will need to adjust throughout the year as well.  How do you do this?  get a mentor or a coach.  We are hear to help.

You will need to take a leap of faith in your business and your plan.  Try different things – client parties, popbys, coffees, write notes and most importantly, you will need to do it consistently. Join networking groups – get out there and be present while you are with them.  The more things you try, the more likely you are to find something that works for you.  Do it, fix it, try it again.

In addition, consider the law of momentum.   Continually staying in motion will keep you moving towards your goals.  Do something – everyday to move you closer to your goals.  Embrace the self-discipline it will take to make it happen.

We have an agent Kay Woodard who has been getting up at 5:00AM and has been walking 5 miles.  She has been getting up in all types of weather and temperatures to walk regardless of the conditions.  She has done it whether she wants to or not.  This means, you have to do it whether you want to or not to build your self discipline.

If you are taking on a new initiative, take the time to educate yourself on what it will take to be successful in that area.  Meet with others who are successful in this area, read extensively about it, and then do it.

Also, analyze yourself – find out what is your “prime time” and get things done during this time – plan and prioritize around this time of day to get things done.  Top performers pay now so they can play later – low performers do what is fun and easy versus what is hard and necessary.  Commit to yourself today and everyday that you make the sacrifice and not play now and have to pay later.  Get up a little earlier – become the Ninja inside of you to write your gratitudes down, do your affirmations and write those personal notes.

Think and speak positively – be an optimistic force in your own life so you can be a positive force in the lives of others.  Optimism builds enthusiasm within you and gives you energy as well as gives you self esteem.

Lastly, be prepared – for your day, your appointments, your plan of action, and lastly your success so that you can build upon it,  daily.  Now, let’s begin!

 

Staff Sergeant Reminds Us

Yesterday I was at a meeting for Homes for Heroes and I heard a young Marine speak about his life and how it had changed after being injured in Afghanistan.  His name is Staff Sergeant Joey Jones

Here are some notes I took and wanted to share with others – enjoy:

  • Build a life on purpose – decide what you want and go get it…
  • Determine what your personality is and what serves you best for your skills
  • No “one” is better than the whole
  • Make a decision to make a difference in someone’s life
  • Decide – what are you gonna do now
  • You control yourself and your destiny
  • You hold the keys to drive your life – don’t give the keys to anyone else.
  • Work hard
  • Care about others
  • Give back
  • Make it happen
  • What makes you happy?  Figure it out and do it more…
  • How can you be a hero to someone else today
  • Determine your goals and aspirations and achieve them
  • If you do anything – do it right
  • Nothing worth doing is ever easy
  • Be respectful to others at all times
  • Read the book – Lone Survivor
  • Check out the campaign www.bootcampaign.com and contribute
  • Take time and practice then make the appropriate adjustments
  • Commit to giving 100% at all times

 

These are things we have heard in the past at one time or another but it never hurts to be reminded of them to keep you focused.